2023 WNBA championship odds: Aces, Liberty remain heavy favorites as playoffs reach semifinals

An Aces-Liberty Finals has been expected all season long

By Jack Maloney Sep 23, 2023 at 5:59 pm ET• 3 min read

Ever since the winter, the defending champion Las Vegas Aces and newly-formed superteam New York Liberty have been the heavy favorites to win the 2023 WNBA championship. Prior to the season, an Aces-Liberty Finals was actually the favorite over any other Finals matchup at some sportsbooks. 

After establishing themselves as the top two teams in the league during the regular season, and sweeping their respective first-round playoff series, the Aces and Liberty remain heavy favorites to win it all. Ahead of the semifinals, which will begin on Sunday and featuring the Aces versus the Dallas Wings and the Liberty against the Connecticut Sun, here's a look at the championship odds for the four remaining teams. 

Odds courtsey of  Caesars Sportsbook

Las Vegas Aces: -165

The Aces won a WNBA-record 34 games during the regular season, had the best offensive, defensive and net ratings, boast homecourt advantage throughout the playoffs and looked completely dominant in the first round. It's no surprise, then, that they are the betting favorites to win the title and become the first team to repeat since the 2001 and 2002 Los Angeles Sparks. 

Homecourt advantage is perhaps the biggest non-talent factor in the Aces' status as favorites. Any team that wants to defeat them in a series will have to win at least one game in Las Vegas, which has not been an easy task in recent years. They were 5-1 at home in the playoffs last season and 19-1 at home this summer during the regular season. Sixteen of those wins came by double digits, and they registered an absurd plus-21.9 net rating at Michelob Ultra Arena this season.