2024 Week 3 NFL point totals, over-under picks, Vegas betting lines: Proven model reveals 25-1 parlay

The SportsLine Projection Model reveals its best bets for Week 3 NFL game point totals and generated a 5-line NFL over/under parlay that pays 25-1

By CBS Sports Staff Sep 20, 2024 at 10:15 am ET• 3 min read

With passing numbers down over the first two weeks of the 2024 NFL season, it should come as little surprise that Unders have had a slight edge in the NFL betting trends. NFL totals have gone under 54.8% of the time (17-14-1) and oddsmakers appear to be adjusting in their third weekend. The Week 3 NFL schedule only includes one game (Lions vs. Cardinals) in which over/under is in the 50s (51.5), while five games feature NFL totals listed at 40 points or lower. 

Which NFL over/unders should you target in Week 3 and how can you find value to craft NFL parlay picks with the potential for a sizable payout?  Before you make any Week 3 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. It's also 8-5 on top-rated over/under picks since the start of that season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.